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Japan’s economic growth slows as Q4 GDP revision falls short of expectations

James Carter

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Japan’s economy expanded at a slower pace than initially estimated in the final quarter of 2024, highlighting lingering challenges for the country’s recovery. Revised data showed that gross domestic product (GDP) grew by 0.6% quarter-over-quarter, falling short of the preliminary estimate, which had suggested a stronger expansion.

The downward revision raises concerns about the strength of Japan’s post-pandemic rebound, particularly as weaker consumer spending and sluggish business investment weighed on overall growth. Analysts had hoped for a more robust performance following earlier projections, but revised figures indicate a more fragile recovery amid global economic uncertainties.

Despite the slower-than-expected growth, policymakers remain cautious about making immediate adjustments to economic strategies. The Bank of Japan has maintained its ultra-loose monetary policy, aiming to support businesses and households while carefully monitoring inflation trends. However, the latest data may prompt renewed discussions about the effectiveness of these measures in driving sustained expansion.

External pressures also continue to pose risks to Japan’s economy. Global supply chain disruptions, slowing demand from key trading partners, and geopolitical tensions have complicated the outlook. While some sectors, such as manufacturing, have shown resilience, the broader economy still faces headwinds that could slow momentum in the coming quarters.

For businesses and investors, the revised GDP figures reinforce the need for a cautious approach. Market watchers will be looking ahead to government stimulus measures and potential policy shifts that could help stabilize growth. The weaker-than-expected performance in Q4 suggests that achieving stronger momentum in early 2025 may require additional economic support.

As Japan navigates these challenges, the focus will remain on consumer confidence, corporate investment, and inflation trends to gauge whether the economy can regain its footing. While the latest revision underscores ongoing struggles, policymakers and economists will be closely watching whether upcoming data points to a more sustainable recovery path.

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