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Japan’s Base Pay Rises Most in 32 Years, Helping Rate Hike Path

Base wages in Japan surged by 1.9% in 2023, marking the fastest annual growth in 32 years, as companies responded to mounting pressure from inflation and labor demands. The increase, according to government data, is a pivotal development for Japan’s economy, which has long struggled with sluggish wage growth and deflationary pressures. This sharp rise highlights a significant shift in corporate behavior, potentially aiding the Bank of Japan’s strategy to exit ultra-loose monetary policy.

The wage boost comes as Prime Minister Fumio Kishida continues to advocate for “new capitalism,” urging firms to share profits with workers. Higher base pay supports consumer spending and aligns with the Bank of Japan’s aim to achieve sustainable inflation. Analysts view the data as a critical indicator that could justify adjustments to interest rates, marking a departure from decades of near-zero rates. However, challenges persist, with real wages still squeezed by rising living costs despite nominal increases.

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