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USD/INR rises on US dollar demand, RBI intervention might help limit losses

The Indian rupee weakened against the US dollar on Tuesday, with the USD/INR exchange rate climbing as heightened demand for the greenback put pressure on the local currency. Persistent interest from importers and global investors in the dollar contributed to the rupee’s decline, reflecting ongoing strength in the world’s reserve currency.

Market participants speculated that the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) might step in to stabilize the rupee, potentially deploying foreign exchange reserves to limit volatility. While RBI interventions are not unusual, the timing and intensity of any action remain uncertain, keeping traders cautious.

The US dollar has been buoyed by robust economic data from the United States, which has bolstered expectations of prolonged higher interest rates. This trend has not only strengthened the dollar globally but also created headwinds for emerging market currencies, including the rupee, which has been under pressure in recent sessions.

Analysts note that while the RBI could offer short-term support, sustained stability may require a favorable shift in fundamentals, such as a reduction in India’s trade deficit or easing global financial conditions. Until then, the USD/INR trajectory remains closely tied to external factors and central bank interventions.

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