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USD/INR flat lines as traders await US CPI release

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The USD/INR currency pair remained relatively unchanged in early trading as traders positioned themselves for the highly anticipated release of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data. Market participants are bracing for the report, which could provide crucial insights into the future direction of US monetary policy.

At the time of writing, the pair was trading flat at ₹83.15, with investors adopting a cautious stance ahead of the CPI figures due later this week. The US dollar has been under pressure in recent sessions, but the CPI data could offer a clearer picture of inflation trends and whether the Federal Reserve will continue its tightening cycle.

US/INR Daily Chart as of December 10th, 2024 (Source: FXStreet)

Market analysts suggest that if the CPI comes in hotter than expected, it may prompt further dollar strength as investors price in higher rates for a longer period. On the other hand, a weaker-than-expected CPI might relieve some pressure on the greenback and boost risk appetite.

The USD/INR has remained within a narrow range recently, indicating a market waiting for fresh catalysts to drive momentum. In the absence of significant local factors, the pair’s direction will likely hinge on the US economic data and the Federal Reserve’s next move.

Traders are watching the US inflation figures closely as they could provide clarity on whether the Fed will maintain its aggressive stance on interest rates or shift towards a more dovish approach. The outcome will be key for the US dollar, and by extension, the USD/INR pair.

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