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Robust Australian Job Figures Fuel Reduction in Rate-Cut Expectations

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Australian employment data showed unexpected strength, with job creation exceeding forecasts in November. The economy added 28,000 jobs, pushing the unemployment rate down to 3.6%. These results challenge earlier predictions of slowing labor market momentum, showcasing the resilience of Australia’s economy amid tightening global conditions.

The robust figures prompted markets to scale back rate-cut bets, as traders now see less likelihood of monetary easing by the Reserve Bank of Australia. Interest rate futures reflected a recalibration, pricing in steady rates through the next quarter. Analysts noted that the RBA’s focus on inflation may remain unchanged, given the tight labor market.

While wage growth has moderated, sustained hiring signals persistent consumer spending power. Economists are monitoring how this dynamic interacts with cooling property markets and external trade pressures. Still, the strength of Australia’s labor market bolsters confidence in its economic outlook despite global uncertainties.

The data introduces a balancing act for policymakers, torn between tempering inflation and supporting employment. For now, the stronger-than-expected numbers signal stability, reducing the immediacy of rate cuts while leaving room for a cautious RBA stance.

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