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SPX – Market has a bad brea(d)th

The S&P 500‘s recent performance has highlighted a troubling divergence in market participation. Despite the index’s rally, the gains are being driven by a narrow group of mega-cap stocks, leaving broader market performance stagnant. This “bad breadth” has raised questions about the sustainability of the current uptrend.

Market Breadth as of January 15, 2025
Source – FXStreet

Market analysts point to declining participation from smaller and mid-cap stocks as a red flag. A healthy bull market typically sees widespread contributions, but recent data suggests fewer stocks are trading above their 200-day moving averages. Such imbalances can signal potential instability, as the market’s reliance on a few key players increases its vulnerability to sudden downturns.

Investors are closely monitoring this phenomenon as earnings season unfolds. While mega-cap tech continues to shine, sectors like energy and financials lag behind, further emphasizing the uneven nature of the rally. If this trend persists, it could undermine confidence in the broader market’s ability to sustain its gains.

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