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PBOC sets higher USD/CNY reference rate as yuan faces pressure

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The People’s Bank of China (PBOC) increased the USD/CNY reference rate to 7.1223 from the previous 7.0982, reflecting mounting pressure on the Chinese yuan amid ongoing global economic challenges. This move suggests the PBOC is working to stabilize the yuan as both domestic issues and international dynamics weigh on the currency.

The PBOC sets a daily reference rate for the yuan (CNY) against the U.S. dollar (USD), providing a framework for currency trading in China. By raising the reference rate, the central bank acknowledges the yuan’s recent depreciation, driven by slowing economic growth in China and external factors such as a strong U.S. dollar and global inflationary pressures.

The yuan’s decline is partly attributed to China’s slower-than-expected economic recovery, with key sectors like manufacturing and exports struggling to regain momentum. In addition, the U.S. Federal Reserve’s tightening monetary policy, which has strengthened the dollar, has contributed to the yuan’s weakness. As the Fed continues raising interest rates, capital has flowed out of emerging markets like China, further pressuring the yuan.

The PBOC’s decision to increase the reference rate reflects its effort to balance maintaining competitive exports with managing risks like capital outflows. While a weaker yuan can benefit Chinese exporters by making goods more affordable globally, it also poses risks by increasing import costs and adding inflationary pressure domestically.

Market participants are now closely monitoring the PBOC’s approach to these challenges, as the central bank works to juggle growth objectives with financial stability. The higher reference rate highlights the ongoing tension between external pressures and domestic economic hurdles, which continue to shape the yuan’s path. As global uncertainty persists, the USD/CNY exchange rate will remain a critical indicator of China’s economic outlook and the PBOC’s ability to manage the competing demands affecting the currency.

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