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Oil: The ultimate test of 2025

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WTI crude oil prices fell 0.7%, teetering near the critical $70 per barrel mark, as markets remain under pressure despite OPEC+’s intervention. The cartel opted to delay its planned production increases, extending voluntary cuts into the next quarter in a bid to stabilize prices.

The decision, widely anticipated by analysts, reflects ongoing concerns about oversupply and weakening global demand heading into 2024. Last week’s temporary rebound, spurred by OPEC+’s stance, failed to hold as market sentiment remains fragile. With oil prices hovering around key support levels, traders are eyeing broader economic signals for direction.

For now, the cartel’s strategy offers a temporary floor, but whether WTI crude can sustain levels above $70 will hinge on supply-demand fundamentals in the coming months. The extension of production cuts highlights OPEC+’s cautious approach amid a sluggish global economy and fluctuating energy demand. Key producers, including Saudi Arabia, have signaled their willingness to intervene further if prices continue to falter. However, persistent concerns over higher interest rates and slower growth in major economies, such as the U.S. and China, are dampening oil market optimism.

With WTI crude prices edging lower, analysts warn that any breach of the $70 per barrel level could trigger a wave of selling pressure. As the year draws to a close, the oil market faces a delicate balancing act, with supply management and economic conditions set to dictate price direction heading into 2024.

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