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Mexican Peso Drops as Trump’s Tariff Remarks Strengthen US Dollar

James Carter
James Carter

James Carter

James is a seasoned forex trader and financial analyst with...

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James Carter

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The Mexican peso weakened sharply, pressured by renewed concerns over trade tensions after Donald Trump’s latest comments on tariffs. The remarks reignited fears of potential US-Mexico trade disruptions, prompting investors to seek safety in the US dollar, which strengthened across the board.

Trump signaled a tougher stance on import tariffs, raising speculation that trade policies could shift if he returns to office. The uncertainty triggered a selloff in the peso, as markets weighed the economic impact of possible higher costs on Mexican exports. Given Mexico’s heavy reliance on trade with the United States, the potential for renewed tariff policies poses a significant risk to economic stability.

USD/MXN 1-D Chart as of January 30th, 2025 (Source: TradingView)

The US dollar gained momentum, fueled by safe-haven flows and lingering expectations that the Federal Reserve will maintain higher interest rates. Meanwhile, the Mexican central bank’s cautious stance has provided little support for the peso, as traders remain focused on external risks.

Looking ahead, market participants will closely watch US economic data, particularly inflation reports and Fed policy signals, to determine whether the dollar’s rally has further room to run. Any additional hawkish Fed commentary could add to the peso’s losses, while signs of softer US economic conditions might slow the greenback’s advance.

For now, the Mexican peso remains vulnerable, with trade policy uncertainty and dollar strength driving market sentiment. Unless clarity emerges on potential tariff measures, the peso could face continued downside pressure in the near term.

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