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Japanese yen seems vulnerable to slide further against USD; US NFP report in focus.

Japanese Yen Faces Pressure as Markets Eye US Jobs Report

The Japanese yen appears poised for further declines against the US dollar, as traders await the pivotal US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report for January. Persistent strength in the US labor market has fueled expectations of higher interest rates, widening the policy divergence between the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan. This dynamic continues to weigh heavily on the yen, which remains near multi-month lows.

Markets are increasingly focused on the impact of Japan’s accommodative monetary stance, with the Bank of Japan showing no signs of shifting its ultra-loose policies. In contrast, the US Federal Reserve’s tightening trajectory has driven the dollar higher, making it a favored safe-haven asset. Traders anticipate that the NFP report could reinforce the Fed’s hawkish tone, further pressuring the yen.

USD/JPY 1-D Chart as of January 10th, 2025 (Source: TradingView)

Volatility in the currency pair has been pronounced, with the USD/JPY exchange rate testing key psychological levels. Should the US jobs data surprise to the upside, analysts expect the yen to slide further, potentially breaching technical support zones. Conversely, any sign of labor market cooling might offer a reprieve, but sustained weakness in the yen remains likely amid global growth uncertainties.

The outlook for the yen will depend heavily on Friday’s NFP figures and subsequent market reactions. A robust report could embolden dollar bulls, amplifying the currency’s dominance against the yen. With limited catalysts from Japan’s economic data, the yen’s vulnerability underscores the challenges of its divergence from global monetary trends.

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