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Australian Dollar steadies despite a market caution ahead of US CPI

The Australian Dollar (AUD) maintained stability on Tuesday as investors tread cautiously ahead of a critical U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) report. Market participants expect the CPI data to influence the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy stance, leaving traders hesitant to make significant moves. AUD/USD showed resilience, hovering near 0.6620 despite broader risk aversion in global markets.

The U.S. CPI report, set for release later today, is expected to reveal persistent inflationary pressures, which could sway the Federal Reserve’s December rate decision. Investors remain wary of any surprises that might indicate a more hawkish Fed stance. Risk-sensitive currencies like the AUD often face headwinds in such an environment, amplifying the market’s cautious tone.

AUD Price Against Major Currencies as of December 11th, 2024 (Source: FXStreet)

China’s ongoing economic uncertainty further weighs on the Australian Dollar, with weak domestic data and sluggish global demand impacting Australia’s trade prospects. Despite some signs of stabilization in China’s property sector, concerns about broader growth persist. Australian exporters rely heavily on Chinese demand, making the AUD particularly sensitive to shifts in China’s economic trajectory.

As the US CPI looms, the broader currency market remains subdued, with traders awaiting clearer direction. While the AUD has found support in recent sessions, its near-term outlook depends on the interplay of U.S. inflation data and broader risk sentiment. Markets may see heightened volatility if the CPI deviates from expectations, setting the stage for sharper moves in the coming days.

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