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Australian dollar holds losses following China trade balance

The Australian Dollar continued to struggle on Monday after China’s trade balance report fell short of expectations, dampening investor sentiment. The Aussie dollar was down by approximately 0.3% against the US dollar, trading at around 0.6375, as traders reacted to weaker-than-anticipated Chinese trade data.

China’s trade surplus shrank in November, posting a decline that raised concerns about the economic recovery in the world’s second-largest economy. Exports fell by 8.7% year-on-year, while imports also dropped, though by a lesser margin of 0.7%. These figures have heightened worries about the global economic slowdown, particularly in Asia, where Australia’s commodity exports play a significant role.

US/INR Daily Chart as of December 10th, 2024 (Source: FXStreet)

The Australian currency, which is closely linked to China’s economic performance, faced downward pressure as investors reconsidered their expectations for future trade growth. Market participants had been hoping for stronger growth in Chinese demand, but this latest data suggests that the recovery might take longer than anticipated.

Analysts are now projecting that the Australian Dollar could remain under pressure, especially as global trade dynamics continue to show signs of slowing down. Additionally, concerns about commodity prices, especially in iron ore and coal, further exacerbate the risks for Australia’s economy and its currency.

Looking ahead, investors will be keeping a close eye on any further developments in China’s economic data, particularly the official PMI reports and any stimulus measures. For now, the Australian Dollar faces continued headwinds as markets react to the uncertainties surrounding global trade and economic growth.

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