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Usd/cnh price forecast: Holds gains around 7.270 on stronger usd, but risks remain

James Carter
James Carter

James Carter

James is a seasoned forex trader and financial analyst with...

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James Carter

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The USD/CNH pair continues to hold gains around 7.270, supported by the stronger US dollar as investors maintain a cautious outlook on global economic conditions. The recent strength in the dollar has provided momentum for the pair, with the greenback benefiting from hawkish Federal Reserve expectations and a resilient US economy. This trend has kept the Chinese yuan on the defensive, despite the People’s Bank of China’s ongoing efforts to stabilize the currency.

While the stronger USD has bolstered the pair’s current position, risks remain, particularly due to geopolitical tensions and potential shifts in global risk sentiment. Market participants are closely watching developments related to US-China trade relations, as any unexpected changes could rapidly alter the dynamics of the USD/CNH pair. The yuan remains vulnerable to fluctuations in global market sentiment and domestic economic challenges.

USD/CNH 1-D Chart as of January 27th, 2025 (Source: TradingVIew)

The USD/CNH pair’s recent price action suggests that the yuan is struggling to maintain stability, even as the US dollar shows signs of strengthening. Traders are also keeping an eye on any potential interventions from the People’s Bank of China, which could try to prevent further depreciation. Despite the current resilience of the USD, the market remains sensitive to any changes in economic data or policy shifts that could drive volatility.

Looking ahead, while USD/CNH remains elevated, the pair is not entirely out of the woods. Risk events, such as changes in US monetary policy or new economic data, could shift the balance, leading to potential volatility for the pair. Traders will need to stay alert to market shifts that could threaten the current uptrend, particularly as global economic uncertainty continues to affect both currencies.

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