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USD/INR rises as foreign outflows put pressure on the Indian Rupee

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The Indian Rupee faced renewed selling pressure on Tuesday, with the USD/INR pair climbing to 83.20 as foreign investors reduced their holdings in Indian equities. Persistent global risk aversion and firming demand for the US Dollar added to the rupee’s woes, amplifying the sell-off in local markets.

Traders noted that recent signals from the Federal Reserve about fewer rate cuts next year are making the dollar more attractive, drawing funds away from emerging markets like India. Coupled with persistent concerns over geopolitical tensions and tightening liquidity conditions, foreign portfolio investors are trimming exposure to Indian assets, further pressuring the rupee’s stability.

USD/INR 1-Day Chart as of December 19th, 2024 (Source: TradingView)

Domestically, higher oil prices are increasing import costs, further straining the balance of payments and keeping the RBI’s intervention limited. While the central bank has stepped in to curb excessive volatility, analysts warn that sustained outflows could test the Reserve Bank’s capacity to stabilize the exchange rate.

The outlook for USD/INR remains tilted upward, with market participants closely monitoring macroeconomic data and global monetary trends. Unless external inflows improve or the Rupee finds domestic support, experts anticipate continued weakness in the near term.

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