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US election update: Odds of a Harris win against Trump jump further

World +5 min read
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The odds for Vice President Kamala Harris’s victory over former President Donald Trump have strengthened in the final days leading up to the U.S. presidential election, signaling a shift in sentiment as markets and investors assess recent polling data. Betting markets, which reflect real-time sentiment, have shown an upward trend in support for Harris, narrowing the gap between her and Trump in the forecasted outcome.

Market analysts note that recent economic indicators, such as easing mortgage rates and gas prices, may be favoring Harris, helping to boost her chances. Betting platforms now give Harris a roughly 44% probability, up from previous estimates, with some models showing her lead in critical swing states like Michigan and Pennsylvania. Trump’s advantage remains narrow, and the election is viewed as one of the most unpredictable in recent history, with a potential impact on both U.S. and global markets.

Financial market players are paying close attention, particularly in currency and equity markets, where any shift in the U.S. administration could affect economic policy and investor confidence. As the election approaches, the latest odds highlight the uncertainty facing traders and investors, who must weigh a potentially volatile post-election period depending on the outcome.

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