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Japanese yen weakens as US bond yields rise, boosting USD demand

World +5 min read
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The Japanese Yen continues to face downward pressure, maintaining its negative bias as rising US bond yields spark renewed demand for the US Dollar. The yen, which had briefly gained ground last week, has since retreated sharply against the USD, following a surge in Treasury yields that has renewed investor confidence in the dollar.

The US 10-year Treasury yield reached a fresh high, pushing up yields across the curve and reinforcing expectations that the Federal Reserve could hold interest rates higher for longer. This environment has fueled USD demand, leaving the yen particularly vulnerable, as the Bank of Japan remains committed to its ultra-loose monetary policy and low interest rates.

USD/JPY 1-Day Chart as of December 2nd, 2024 (Source: TradingView)

Despite interventions from Japan’s central bank to manage the yen’s slide, the currency has struggled to recover, reflecting the growing divergence between US and Japanese monetary policies. While US economic strength supports the dollar, the yen’s continued weakness highlights Japan’s ongoing difficulty in adjusting to the global rise in interest rates.

Looking forward, US economic data and further movements in US bond yields will continue to dictate the fate of both currencies. With the Fed’s hawkish stance and Japan’s stagnant policy, the Yen’s outlook remains grim, and the USD is poised to maintain its strength in the short term.

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