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Japanese Yen bulls remain on the sidelines amid BoJ uncertainty, modest USD strength

World +5 min read
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As yen bulls stayed on the sidelines Thursday, the Japanese yen continued to face pressure due to growing uncertainty over the Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) monetary policy and a slight strengthening of the U.S. dollar. Despite market volatility and rising inflation concerns, the yen has struggled to gain traction, with traders awaiting clearer signals from the BoJ on potential changes to its ultra-loose policy.

The BoJ’s commitment to maintaining a dovish stance has kept the yen from attracting significant buying interest, despite its traditional role as a safe-haven asset. Market participants are hesitant as they remain unsure if or when the central bank will adjust its yield curve control mechanisms or raise interest rates to combat inflation. This uncertainty has left the yen vulnerable, especially as the U.S. dollar strengthens due to rising U.S. Treasury yields and expectations of further tightening by the Federal Reserve.

US Dollar Price Against Major Currencies as of October 11th, 2024 (Source: FXStreet)

While the BoJ’s reluctance to shift its policy has been a key factor in keeping the yen weak, the moderate strength of the U.S. dollar has also restricted any upward momentum for the Japanese currency. Investors continue to favor the dollar, given the contrast between the Fed’s hawkish approach and the BoJ’s accommodative stance.

Looking ahead, analysts are closely watching for any hints of policy change from the BoJ. Until then, yen bulls are likely to remain cautious, and the yen is expected to remain under pressure as long as the U.S. dollar stays strong and the BoJ’s policy remains uncertain.

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