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Bank of Japan signals steady rates with inflation paving the way for a hike in early 2025

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The Bank of Japan (BOJ) has opted to keep its interest rates steady, signaling a cautious approach amid evolving inflation dynamics. While the central bank continues to grapple with a fragile economic recovery, policymakers hinted that rising inflationary pressures could justify a rate hike as early as early 2025.

This decision aligns with BOJ’s long-standing stance of prioritizing economic stability over aggressive monetary tightening. Governor Kazuo Ueda emphasized that inflation must show consistent improvement before any adjustments, noting that recent price increases are largely influenced by external factors, including energy costs and a weaker yen. Core inflation remains a concern, with signs of sustained upward momentum.

Analysts view the announcement as a strategic step to prepare markets for a gradual policy shift. “The BOJ is sending a clear message that while ultra-loose policies persist for now, the window for tightening is opening,” said one Tokyo-based economist. The yen showed little movement, reflecting market expectations for a delayed rate hike timeline.

With other global central banks, such as the Federal Reserve and European Central Bank, moderating their own rate policies, the BOJ’s signal of potential tightening highlights its commitment to balancing growth and price stability. However, uncertainty surrounding Japan’s export-driven economy and global demand will likely shape the timing and scale of future rate changes.

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