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Retail sales in Australia increase by 0.1% in September, missing the expected 0.3% growth

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Australia’s retail sales rose by a modest 0.1% in September, below the anticipated 0.3% growth, according to new data released Friday. The increase, though positive, fell short of expectations, underscoring concerns that consumer spending may be cooling as inflation pressures and rising living costs persist.

The data signals that consumers are exercising caution amid economic uncertainty, with September’s growth marking a slowdown compared to earlier months. Analysts had expected a stronger rebound, especially in light of relatively stable employment levels, yet high interest rates and inflation appear to be dampening household spending. This trend, if it continues, could weigh on Australia’s broader economic outlook.

A closer look at the numbers shows that household discretionary spending remains muted, as core goods and services face limited growth. This restrained spending could prompt a recalibration of forecasts regarding Australia’s consumer economy, potentially influencing the Reserve Bank of Australia’s policy stance. A slower retail environment might reduce the likelihood of further rate hikes, as policymakers consider the effects of tightened consumer wallets on overall economic health.

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